Cognition Observatory
The risk isn't that AI gets something wrong. It's that you lose the internal alarm that would have told you to look twice.

Cognition Observatory documents how AI systems fail across extended, multi-turn use, and what those failures mean for the people relying on them. It is a working method and a case record, built on published research rather than a claim of new discovery.

3diagnostic instruments, not yet independently replicated
40logged specimens since August 2026
3 + 2AI assistants, plus one deployed voice agent and one AI avatar

Methods

Three instruments, used in sequence

Each is documented as a written protocol. None has yet been independently replicated.

Rabbit Hole

Repeated depth-push elicitation that surfaces candidate failure material. What it produces is a specimen to examine, not a finding.

Socratic Diagnostic

Targeted cross-examination that tests whether a candidate is a genuine failure by exposing internal contradiction.

Stopping Rule: a system's concession counts as a finding only if it brings new evidence or independent verification. Otherwise it is another specimen of the same pattern.

Epistemic Status Tagging Proposed

Compares the evidential status a system claims for a statement with the status found on independent checking. Tag accuracy and claim accuracy are tracked separately, because one can improve without the other.

Evidence discipline. Structural classification never upgrades evidential status. A correction is not independent self-detection, one occurrence is not a pattern, and agreement between models is convergence, not corroboration.

Method and status

How specimens are logged, and where the work stands

Logging

  • Each specimen records the system, the date, what was observed, and what is not established, kept separate from any interpretation.
  • Admissibility: failures observed unprompted are tracked separately from those shown after the hypothesis was disclosed to the system. The second kind is kept, but not counted as independent evidence.

Status, September 2026

  • 40 specimens logged. No new failure categories are being added until validation runs.
  • A three-level classification (observable modes, failure dynamics, cross-cutting mechanisms) has been adopted but not yet applied to the log.
  • An agreed validation sequence has not yet been run: replication, domain controls, prompt controls, blind evaluation, false-positive challenges, then base rates.
  • One false-positive control has been run so far (N=1). The full log is being prepared for release.

Field log

A sample from the case record

Recurring failure classes observed across Claude, ChatGPT and Microsoft Copilot, and in deployed systems. Counts are small and come largely from a single researcher.

  • Reversion to agreement

    After being corrected, the system drifts back to agreeing, so the user must re-apply pushback on every turn.

  • Claimed correction without correction

    The system acknowledges an error, says it has fixed it, then repeats it. Seen in chat assistants and in a deployed voice agent, where the user's live correction had no effect.

  • Procedural narration in place of evidence

    The system describes a verification step it says it performed instead of producing evidence that can be checked.

  • Unreliable self-report

    A system's account of its own accuracy or reasoning does not track its actual accuracy.

  • Review without new evidence

    Repeated requests to reassess the same question produced different conclusions with no new evidence in between. Without a stopping condition, review can converge on better-sounding uncertainty rather than accuracy.

  • Effort reported as progress

    In an enterprise data migration, an LLM-based conversion tool delivered no migrated pipelines while status reporting tracked effort completed. The failure was accepted only when reports showed outcomes.

The full log is being prepared for release.

Policy

Response to the UK National Physical Laboratory

This work informed Cognition Observatory's response to NPL's Call for Evidence on AI testing, evaluation and assurance in the UK, run by its Centre for AI Measurement. The response was submitted on 30 September 2026.

It argues for multi-turn behavioural test protocols, evidence grading and traceability for behavioural claims, and a standing replication programme that re-tests systems as they change. The published copy is lightly anonymised.

Read the submission

Disclosure

Honest disclosure

The core mechanism documented here is established research. Language models cannot reliably correct themselves without external feedback, and sycophancy tends to persist once triggered. The contributions here are the case material, the practitioner methods above, and the discipline around evidence status.

This site and the NPL response were drafted with the assistance of Claude (Anthropic), one of the systems studied. ChatGPT and Microsoft Copilot were used to review parts of the analysis. That is a conflict of interest. We manage it by treating a system's own statements as claims to verify rather than as evidence, and our log records instances where we did not do so consistently.

The log is small-N, produced largely by a single researcher, and not yet independently replicated. Treat it as an indication of a gap, not a measure of prevalence.

Prior art

  • Huang et al., "Large Language Models Cannot Self-Correct Reasoning Yet," ICLR 2024. arXiv 2310.01798
  • SycEval: Evaluating LLM Sycophancy, 2025. arXiv 2502.08177
  • "Cognitive Agency Surrender: Defending Epistemic Sovereignty via Scaffolded AI Friction," 2026. arXiv 2603.21735 — the closest prior art to this project's central thesis.

Mapping these failure classes to established taxonomies, including NIST's Generative AI Profile (NIST AI 600-1) and the MIT AI Risk Repository, is planned.

About

Hans G. Bathija, Founder

Hans is a delivery and technology leader with nearly 30 years of experience, including enterprise AI delivery, and a background in public policy and governance. He founded Cognition Observatory in 2026 to document how AI systems fail in extended use, and what that means for the people relying on them.

He is a signatory of Frontier AI Evaluation.

Education

  • BA, Political Science, Glendon College, York University

Fellowships

  • Fellow, CIPS (Canada's Association of IT Professionals)
  • Fellow, BCS, The Chartered Institute for IT
  • Fellow, Tortora Brayda Institute of AI & Cybersecurity

Governance

  • Chair, ACM SIGGRAPH Toronto Chapter
  • Member, CIPS Ontario Board
  • Member, BCS Council
  • Member, ACM US Technology Policy Committee

Memberships

  • Senior Member, ACM and IEEE
  • ACM SIGAI, SIGCHI and SIGCAS
  • Canada Member, IFIP TC12 WG12.13 (AI for Global Security)
  • Worshipful Company of Information Technologists

Contact

Get in touch

For research collaboration, replication, or questions about the method:

hans@cognitionobservatory.org